Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.156993 0.187112 0.220973 0.261791 0.309591 0.363721 0.429594
2025-04-27 0.121951 0.163351 0.215063 0.284090 0.373465 0.484896 0.633934
2025-05-04 0.098868 0.144562 0.206297 0.295125 0.418860 0.584179 0.820670
2025-05-11 0.079353 0.124978 0.190832 0.291720 0.441014 0.652123 0.971102
2025-05-18 0.063370 0.106699 0.173044 0.280497 0.448196 0.697372 1.092168
2025-05-25 0.050798 0.090978 0.155936 0.266627 0.447922 0.729589 1.195251
2025-06-01 0.044543 0.084267 0.151646 0.271696 0.476772 0.807949 1.375912
2025-06-08 0.037131 0.074134 0.139918 0.262331 0.480142 0.845232 1.493756
2025-06-15 0.033330 0.069845 0.137546 0.268488 0.510023 0.928363 1.694724
2025-06-22 0.029587 0.064979 0.133314 0.270479 0.532363 1.000313 1.882954
2025-06-29 0.025775 0.059287 0.126622 0.266778 0.543497 1.053120 2.041842
2025-07-06 0.022575 0.054302 0.120548 0.263319 0.554368 1.105993 2.205154
2025-07-13 0.020707 0.052078 0.120119 0.271886 0.591154 1.213503 2.486292
2025-07-20 0.020172 0.052837 0.126180 0.294943 0.660171 1.390302 2.918723
2025-07-27 0.018755 0.051236 0.126816 0.306369 0.706376 1.526851 3.285535
2025-08-03 0.016498 0.047119 0.121099 0.302841 0.720168 1.599369 3.530768
2025-08-10 0.014078 0.042089 0.112423 0.291217 0.714599 1.631024 3.694681
2025-08-17 0.011871 0.037168 0.103189 0.276851 0.700852 1.643559 3.818967
2025-08-24 0.010921 0.035571 0.102059 0.282101 0.733210 1.759122 4.175730
2025-08-31 0.009426 0.032068 0.095392 0.272401 0.728598 1.791869 4.352891
2025-09-07 0.008763 0.030950 0.094956 0.278778 0.764026 1.918764 4.752900
2025-09-14 0.008007 0.029378 0.093009 0.280841 0.788824 2.023239 5.110736
2025-09-21 0.007137 0.027249 0.089119 0.277008 0.797966 2.091406 5.389726